Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.366930 0.405666 0.447235 0.495242 0.549250 0.608242 0.677705
2025-04-27 0.306835 0.360970 0.423342 0.500865 0.595109 0.706560 0.849220
2025-05-04 0.272097 0.333533 0.407752 0.504708 0.629036 0.784473 0.995648
2025-05-11 0.245960 0.311546 0.393848 0.505801 0.655796 0.852202 1.132796
2025-05-18 0.227427 0.296301 0.385612 0.511458 0.686703 0.925820 1.283261
2025-05-25 0.206344 0.275254 0.367113 0.500480 0.692439 0.963848 1.385937
2025-06-01 0.194635 0.265526 0.362548 0.507521 0.722974 1.038379 1.548435
2025-06-08 0.181232 0.252146 0.351471 0.503711 0.736516 1.088137 1.677271
2025-06-15 0.171764 0.243486 0.346191 0.507511 0.761114 1.156003 1.841119
2025-06-22 0.160309 0.231005 0.334228 0.499910 0.766856 1.194029 1.958894
2025-06-29 0.150781 0.220670 0.324614 0.494932 0.775897 1.237510 2.089785
2025-07-06 0.138518 0.205369 0.306342 0.474695 0.758018 1.234077 2.136460
2025-07-13 0.132896 0.200082 0.303441 0.479380 0.782649 1.306210 2.330882
2025-07-20 0.127772 0.195246 0.300912 0.484452 0.808341 1.382649 2.542981
2025-07-27 0.122811 0.190313 0.297815 0.488172 0.831713 1.456732 2.759086
2025-08-03 0.117732 0.184847 0.293434 0.489223 0.850157 1.523096 2.967436
2025-08-10 0.113870 0.181132 0.291684 0.494667 0.876968 1.607666 3.224145
2025-08-17 0.107445 0.172746 0.281469 0.484101 0.872566 1.630536 3.350379
2025-08-24 0.104460 0.170018 0.280804 0.490878 0.901978 1.723682 3.644488
2025-08-31 0.099970 0.164439 0.274793 0.487211 0.910424 1.774406 3.847847
2025-09-07 0.096937 0.161225 0.272760 0.490869 0.933738 1.858384 4.140729
2025-09-14 0.092449 0.155200 0.265317 0.483553 0.933894 1.892384 4.316297
2025-09-21 0.088617 0.150156 0.259379 0.478761 0.938876 1.937350 4.525302